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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed Decision in October?
No change
92%
25 bps increase
30%
3 more
$425K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
49 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
84%
September Meeting
78%
3 more
$1.87M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
64 trading now
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
0
23%
Yes
No
1
23%
Yes
No
$5.4K
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$76
45 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
78%
Pause–Pause–Pause
55%
7 more
$655K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
63 trading now
Fed Decision in December?
No change
78%
25 bps increase
52%
3 more
$3.8K
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
33 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
55%
0 (0 bps)
44%
4 more
$97K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
43 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
88%
Pause–Pause–Pause
34%
7 more
$608K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
47 trading now
Fed Decision in January?
No change
83%
25 bps increase
28%
3 more
$850.32
Vol.
Jan 27
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
31 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$753.44
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$173
41 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$5.9K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$218
44 trading now
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